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Everything posted by Omar
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Erceg to the Orioles: You can call me daddy!
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Orioles hangout on suicide watch.
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2024)
Omar replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Rogers was one the few teams in on Ohtani. Rogers outbid the competition in both dollars and term to sign Russell Martin. Rogers outbid the competition in both dollars and term to sign Springer. Rogers can definitely outbid the competition in both dollars and term to sign Soto (especially if they get the sense that Vladdy may not bite). I wouldn't call it a long shot at all. edit: besides they need an "aircraft carrier" type of player to keep the seats full. A business case can be made to sign both Vladdy and Soto. -
Yup. The Jays need to add a net 50 home runs to their batting order to be competitive next year. No easy feat.
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Today, we’re launching our series early free agent previews featuring a blend of numerical and observational analysis that will help frame the upcoming free agent season in a robust, informational manner. As more clarity emerges with respect to specific players, we’ll update this list accordingly. Our list leverages work from MLB Trade Rumors for the list of free agents, as well as FanGraphs, Baseball Prospectus and Baseball Reference for player win values above baseline, Baseball Savant and Baseball Prospectus for defensive data and FanGraphs for all other data. We encourage our readers and subscribers to consider subscribing to FanGraphs and Baseball Prospectus as well. Read on below the table for a tier-by-tier breakdown of available position player free agents. NOTE: All Data Through September 29th and all ages as of April 1, 2025. 2024 Wins are an average of totals pulled from FanGraphs, Baseball Prospectus and Baseball Reference. [TABLE=width: 936] [TR] [TD=colspan: 10]Reset [/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TH=align: left]RANK[/TH] [TH=align: left]NAME[/TH] [TH=align: left]POS.[/TH] [TH=align: left]AGE[/TH] [TH=align: left]2024 WINS[/TH] [TH=align: left]AVG[/TH] [TH=align: left]OBP[/TH] [TH=align: left]SLG[/TH] [TH=align: left]WRC+[/TH] [TH=align: left]HR[/TH] [/TR] [TR] [TD]1[/TD] [TD]Juan Soto[/TD] [TD]RF[/TD] [TD]26.4[/TD] [TD]8.2[/TD] [TD].288[/TD] [TD].419[/TD] [TD].569[/TD] [TD] 180[/TD] [TD] 41[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]2[/TD] [TD]Willy Adames[/TD] [TD]SS[/TD] [TD]29.6[/TD] [TD]3.6[/TD] [TD].251[/TD] [TD].331[/TD] [TD].462[/TD] [TD] 119[/TD] [TD] 32[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]3[/TD] [TD]Alex Bregman[/TD] [TD]3B[/TD] [TD]31.0[/TD] [TD]3.8[/TD] [TD].260[/TD] [TD].315[/TD] [TD].453[/TD] [TD] 118[/TD] [TD] 26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]4[/TD] [TD]Pete Alonso[/TD] [TD]1B[/TD] [TD]30.3[/TD] [TD]2.7[/TD] [TD].240[/TD] [TD].330[/TD] [TD].462[/TD] [TD] 123[/TD] [TD] 34[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]5[/TD] [TD]Teoscar Hernandez[/TD] [TD]LF[/TD] [TD]32.5[/TD] [TD]3.9[/TD] [TD].272[/TD] [TD].339[/TD] [TD].501[/TD] [TD] 134[/TD] [TD] 33[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]6[/TD] [TD]Tyler O’Neill[/TD] [TD]LF[/TD] [TD]29.8[/TD] [TD]2.9[/TD] [TD].241[/TD] [TD].336[/TD] [TD].511[/TD] [TD] 131[/TD] [TD] 31[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]7[/TD] [TD]Jurickson Profar[/TD] [TD]LF[/TD] [TD]32.1[/TD] [TD]4.2[/TD] [TD].280[/TD] [TD].380[/TD] [TD].459[/TD] [TD] 139[/TD] [TD] 24[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]8[/TD] [TD]Anthony Santander[/TD] [TD]RF[/TD] [TD]30.5[/TD] [TD]3.2[/TD] [TD].235[/TD] [TD].308[/TD] [TD].506[/TD] [TD] 129[/TD] [TD] 44[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]9[/TD] [TD]Christian Walker[/TD] [TD]1B[/TD] [TD]34.0[/TD] [TD]2.9[/TD] [TD].251[/TD] [TD].335[/TD] [TD].468[/TD] [TD] 119[/TD] [TD] 26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]10[/TD] [TD]Marcell Ozuna[/TD] [TD]DH[/TD] [TD]34.4[/TD] [TD]4.7[/TD] [TD].304[/TD] [TD].381[/TD] [TD].552[/TD] [TD] 156[/TD] [TD] 39[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]11[/TD] [TD]Cody Bellinger[/TD] [TD]CF[/TD] [TD]29.7[/TD] [TD]2.3[/TD] [TD].266[/TD] [TD].325[/TD] [TD].426[/TD] [TD] 109[/TD] [TD] 18[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]12[/TD] [TD]Eugenio Suarez[/TD] [TD]3B[/TD] [TD]33.7[/TD] [TD]3.1[/TD] [TD].256[/TD] [TD].319[/TD] [TD].469[/TD] [TD] 115[/TD] [TD] 30[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]13[/TD] [TD]Ha-Seong Kim[/TD] [TD]SS[/TD] [TD]29.5[/TD] [TD]2.2[/TD] [TD].233[/TD] [TD].330[/TD] [TD].370[/TD] [TD] 101[/TD] [TD] 11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]14[/TD] [TD]Brandon Lowe[/TD] [TD]2B[/TD] [TD]30.7[/TD] [TD]2.2[/TD] [TD].244[/TD] [TD].311[/TD] [TD].473[/TD] [TD] 123[/TD] [TD] 21[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]15[/TD] [TD]Gleyber Torres[/TD] [TD]2B[/TD] [TD]28.3[/TD] [TD]1.7[/TD] [TD].257[/TD] [TD].330[/TD] [TD].378[/TD] [TD] 104[/TD] [TD] 15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]16[/TD] [TD]Rhys Hoskins[/TD] [TD]1B[/TD] [TD]32.0[/TD] [TD]0.1[/TD] [TD].214[/TD] [TD].303[/TD] [TD].419[/TD] [TD] 100[/TD] [TD] 26[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]17[/TD] [TD]Paul Goldschmidt[/TD] [TD]1B[/TD] [TD]37.6[/TD] [TD]1.3[/TD] [TD].244[/TD] [TD].300[/TD] [TD].411[/TD] [TD] 98[/TD] [TD] 22[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]18[/TD] [TD]Joc Pederson[/TD] [TD]DH[/TD] [TD]32.9[/TD] [TD]2.8[/TD] [TD].275[/TD] [TD].393[/TD] [TD].515[/TD] [TD] 151[/TD] [TD] 23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]19[/TD] [TD]Miguel Rojas[/TD] [TD]SS[/TD] [TD]36.1[/TD] [TD]2.6[/TD] [TD].283[/TD] [TD].337[/TD] [TD].410[/TD] [TD] 111[/TD] [TD] 6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]20[/TD] [TD]Danny Jansen[/TD] [TD]C[/TD] [TD]30.0[/TD] [TD]0.8[/TD] [TD].205[/TD] [TD].309[/TD] [TD].349[/TD] [TD] 90[/TD] [TD] 9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]21[/TD] [TD]Max Kepler[/TD] [TD]RF[/TD] [TD]32.1[/TD] [TD]1.1[/TD] [TD].253[/TD] [TD].302[/TD] [TD].380[/TD] [TD] 94[/TD] [TD] 8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]22[/TD] [TD]Ryan O’Hearn[/TD] [TD]1B[/TD] [TD]31.7[/TD] [TD]2.1[/TD] [TD].264[/TD] [TD].334[/TD] [TD].427[/TD] [TD] 119[/TD] [TD] 15[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]23[/TD] [TD]Kyle Higashioka[/TD] [TD]C[/TD] [TD]34.9[/TD] [TD]1.4[/TD] [TD].220[/TD] [TD].263[/TD] [TD].476[/TD] [TD] 105[/TD] [TD] 17[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]24[/TD] [TD]Carlos Santana[/TD] [TD]1B[/TD] [TD]39.0[/TD] [TD]2.7[/TD] [TD].238[/TD] [TD].328[/TD] [TD].420[/TD] [TD] 114[/TD] [TD] 23[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]25[/TD] [TD]Gary Sanchez[/TD] [TD]C[/TD] [TD]32.3[/TD] [TD]0.4[/TD] [TD].220[/TD] [TD].307[/TD] [TD].392[/TD] [TD] 96[/TD] [TD] 11[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]26[/TD] [TD]Harrison Bader[/TD] [TD]CF[/TD] [TD]30.8[/TD] [TD]1.5[/TD] [TD].239[/TD] [TD].287[/TD] [TD].378[/TD] [TD] 87[/TD] [TD] 12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]27[/TD] [TD]Alex Verdugo[/TD] [TD]LF[/TD] [TD]28.9[/TD] [TD]1.0[/TD] [TD].233[/TD] [TD].291[/TD] [TD].356[/TD] [TD] 83[/TD] [TD] 13[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]28[/TD] [TD]Jesse Winker[/TD] [TD]LF[/TD] [TD]31.6[/TD] [TD]1.8[/TD] [TD].253[/TD] [TD].360[/TD] [TD].405[/TD] [TD] 118[/TD] [TD] 14[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]29[/TD] [TD]Andrew McCutchen[/TD] [TD]RF[/TD] [TD]38.5[/TD] [TD]1.1[/TD] [TD].232[/TD] [TD].328[/TD] [TD].411[/TD] [TD] 105[/TD] [TD] 20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]30[/TD] [TD]Jorge Polanco[/TD] [TD]2B[/TD] [TD]31.7[/TD] [TD]0.9[/TD] [TD].213[/TD] [TD].296[/TD] [TD].355[/TD] [TD] 92[/TD] [TD] 16[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]31[/TD] [TD]Paul DeJong[/TD] [TD]SS[/TD] [TD]31.7[/TD] [TD]0.8[/TD] [TD].227[/TD] [TD].276[/TD] [TD].427[/TD] [TD] 95[/TD] [TD] 24[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]32[/TD] [TD]Kevin Newman[/TD] [TD]SS[/TD] [TD]31.7[/TD] [TD]1.4[/TD] [TD].278[/TD] [TD].311[/TD] [TD].375[/TD] [TD] 89[/TD] [TD] 3[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]33[/TD] [TD]Yasmani Grandal[/TD] [TD]C[/TD] [TD]36.4[/TD] [TD]1.3[/TD] [TD].228[/TD] [TD].304[/TD] [TD].400[/TD] [TD] 95[/TD] [TD] 9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]34[/TD] [TD]Michael Conforto[/TD] [TD]LF[/TD] [TD]32.1[/TD] [TD]1.1[/TD] [TD].237[/TD] [TD].309[/TD] [TD].450[/TD] [TD] 112[/TD] [TD] 20[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]35[/TD] [TD]Kevin Kiermaier[/TD] [TD]CF[/TD] [TD]34.9[/TD] [TD]0.5[/TD] [TD].197[/TD] [TD].237[/TD] [TD].313[/TD] [TD] 54[/TD] [TD] 5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]36[/TD] [TD]Michael A. Taylor[/TD] [TD]CF[/TD] [TD]34.0[/TD] [TD]0.6[/TD] [TD].193[/TD] [TD].253[/TD] [TD].290[/TD] [TD] 50[/TD] [TD] 5[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]37[/TD] [TD]Yoan Moncada[/TD] [TD]3B[/TD] [TD]29.8[/TD] [TD]0.2[/TD] [TD].275[/TD] [TD].356[/TD] [TD].400[/TD] [TD] 117[/TD] [TD] –[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]38[/TD] [TD]Randal Grichuk[/TD] [TD]RF[/TD] [TD]33.6[/TD] [TD]1.6[/TD] [TD].291[/TD] [TD].348[/TD] [TD].528[/TD] [TD] 139[/TD] [TD] 12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]39[/TD] [TD]Jacob Stallings[/TD] [TD]C[/TD] [TD]35.3[/TD] [TD]1.1[/TD] [TD].263[/TD] [TD].357[/TD] [TD].453[/TD] [TD] 114[/TD] [TD] 9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]40[/TD] [TD]Elias Diaz[/TD] [TD]C[/TD] [TD]34.4[/TD] [TD]0.9[/TD] [TD].265[/TD] [TD].313[/TD] [TD].382[/TD] [TD] 81[/TD] [TD] 6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]41[/TD] [TD]Eloy Jimenez[/TD] [TD]RF[/TD] [TD]28.3[/TD] [TD]-0.4[/TD] [TD].238[/TD] [TD].289[/TD] [TD].336[/TD] [TD] 78[/TD] [TD] 6[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]42[/TD] [TD]Brandon Drury[/TD] [TD]2B[/TD] [TD]32.6[/TD] [TD]-1.4[/TD] [TD].169[/TD] [TD].242[/TD] [TD].228[/TD] [TD] 34[/TD] [TD] 4[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]43[/TD] [TD]Gio Urshela[/TD] [TD]3B[/TD] [TD]33.5[/TD] [TD]1.0[/TD] [TD].249[/TD] [TD].285[/TD] [TD].362[/TD] [TD] 81[/TD] [TD] 9[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]44[/TD] [TD]Austin Barnes[/TD] [TD]C[/TD] [TD]35.3[/TD] [TD]0.4[/TD] [TD].264[/TD] [TD].331[/TD] [TD].307[/TD] [TD] 86[/TD] [TD] 1[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]45[/TD] [TD]Austin Hedges[/TD] [TD]C[/TD] [TD]32.6[/TD] [TD]0.2[/TD] [TD].152[/TD] [TD].203[/TD] [TD].220[/TD] [TD] 20[/TD] [TD] 2[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]46[/TD] [TD]Kevin Pillar[/TD] [TD]CF[/TD] [TD]36.2[/TD] [TD]0.4[/TD] [TD].229[/TD] [TD].291[/TD] [TD].377[/TD] [TD] 88[/TD] [TD] 8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]47[/TD] [TD]David Peralta[/TD] [TD]RF[/TD] [TD]37.6[/TD] [TD]0.7[/TD] [TD].267[/TD] [TD].335[/TD] [TD].415[/TD] [TD] 115[/TD] [TD] 8[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]48[/TD] [TD]Josh Bell[/TD] [TD]1B[/TD] [TD]32.6[/TD] [TD]0.3[/TD] [TD].249[/TD] [TD].319[/TD] [TD].405[/TD] [TD] 101[/TD] [TD] 19[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]49[/TD] [TD]Enrique Hernandez[/TD] [TD]3B[/TD] [TD]33.6[/TD] [TD]0.9[/TD] [TD].229[/TD] [TD].281[/TD] [TD].373[/TD] [TD] 83[/TD] [TD] 12[/TD] [/TR] [TR] [TD]50[/TD] [TD]Whit Merrifield[/TD] [TD]2B[/TD] [TD]36.2[/TD] [TD]0.5[/TD] [TD].222[/TD] [TD].311[/TD] [TD].314[/TD] [TD] 80[/TD] [TD] 4[/TD] [/TR] [/TABLE] [h=2]Tier 1 : Juan Soto[/h]Juan Soto is in a clear tier of his own, and as a preview of the upcoming positional deep dives, we’ll do a deep dive here for the future Hall of Famer. Soto is the closest you can get to a sure-fire .400 OBP player with power. While he doesn’t provide a lot of value with the glove—being somewhere between 4-8 runs below average—his bat will likely carry him to the Hall of Fame. Let’s visualize how special of a talent Juan is: Against breaking balls (curves, sliders, sweepers and cutters), he shows an incredible approach. He’s aggressive on pitches in the zone and rarely chasing pitches, which, once again, limiting his swings when the pitch is in the bottom third of the zone. We’ll have more to say about Soto in the upcoming positional deep dive. [h=2]Tier 2: Power Hitters Galore[/h][h=5]Willy Adames[/h]Shortstops are always in demand, and Adames is clearly the best available in this free agent class, which is why we have him as the No. 2 position player available. [h=5]Pete Alonso[/h]Alonso is perhaps the biggest name outside of Soto to enter free agency. Excluding 2020, he’s hit 30 home runs every year, including four seasons with 40 or more homer. Excluding, again, the pandemic season, he has played at least 152 games eery season and posted a wRC+ of at least 120. His production is as rock solid as you can get. Sluggers like Alonso may not age well in their latter years, but he’s very likely to be a middle-of-the-lineup producer for many years to come. [h=5]Teoscar Hernandez and Tyler O’Neill[/h]Hernandez and O’Neill are broadly similar players, but the edge goes to Hernandez as we have more confidence in his ability to stay healthy. [h=5]Alex Bregman and Jurickson Profar[/h]Both these players are elite contact hitters, though Profar added about three mph to pretty much all of his EV metrics, catapulting him into the top tier of free agency. Bregman doesn’t need his home ball park to succeed. [h=5]Anthony Santander[/h]Santander is close to Hernandez and O’Neill, but we have him here as he’s a lesser defender who is somewhat over-reliant on hitting home runs. [h=5]Marcell Ozuna and Christian Walker[/h]These dudes absolutely mash, but they are about 4-5 years older than Alonso. And you never know when that performance cliff will come for a 1B/DH. [h=5]Cody Bellinger[/h]Bellinger is the one guy other than Profar in this tier that didn’t crack 30 HR, but he’s a very good all-around player, and only 30 years old entering next season. He’s now put together two consecutive seasons of high-quality production, so it feels likely that he’ll opt out and try to get a more favorable contract. [h=5]Eugenio Suarez[/h]A good defender who hits a lot of home runs, Suarez will need to be on a team that can stomach the streaky nature of his production (likely ruling out intense markets like New York). [h=2]Tier 3: Boring, But Valuable[/h]Ha-Seong Kim, Brandon Lowe and Gleyber Torres Kim and Lowe don’t get a lot of hype, but are both extremely valuable baseball players. We’ve grouped these three players as we think they are the most likely to produce positive free agent value to the team that scoops them up. Paul Goldschmidt and Joc Pederson We worry that Goldschmidt may have hit an age-related performance cliff, and see limited value in a DH-only platoon bat. You could perhaps move Pederson down a tier, but the bat is really good, as he slugged over .500 in 2022 and 2024. [h=2]Tier 4: Guys With Some Questions[/h]Miguel Rojas is probably the third-best shortstop available this off-season. Max Kepler had a bad year, but looks like an average player. Carlos Santana continues to mash, but he’s entering his age-39 season. Danny Jansen has struggled to stay on the field, while Kyle Higashioka is limited offensively. Ryan O’Hearn is a solid bat, but he’ll likely only be a 1-2 win player in the next few seasons. [h=2]Tier 5: Everyone Else[/h]There will always be a gem or two that comes out of this group. If we had to pick a couple of names, it would probably be Jesse Winker and Jorge Polanco. [h=3]Our Sources of Data[/h]This endeavor isn’t possible without the work being done inside our industry. We certainly understand the importance of subscriber revenue in today’s modern media landscape, and encourage our susbcribers to consider supporting the following resources [*=left]MLBTR top 50 [*=left]FanGraphs [*=left]Baseball Prospectus [*=left]Baseball Reference [*=left]Savant [*=left]
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Agree on all that but this guy could draw a walk now he doesn't even walk anymore. His walk rate is like half of what it was the first half of the season. Something not right.
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Rutschman did not have a good game, behind the plate or with the bat. What happened to him the second half? Complete power outage. Is he hiding an injury?
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Orioles hangout is a great place to be right now.
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Judge is making $40 per annum. Soto will get close to that, as well he should based on his age future potential. So if Soto gets $40M per for say ten years for $400M, you think Vladdy is only going to get $260M! You're dreaming. Vladdy will get 85~95% of what Soto gets. Maybe more than 95% of what Soto gets.
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Because of the Jay's lack of success and vlady's recent resurgence, the Jays will be in a tough spot going forward. Vladi has already indicated that he thinks he's the best hitter in the game and he's going to want the Moon. However, it ends with him getting extended or letting him walk after 2025, or traded in the interim. It's not going to end well from a financial or a baseball perspective.
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2024)
Omar replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
I thought Atkins would get reassigned somewhere in the organization this off season. Somewhere way south where he can flex his Spanish speaking skills. The way it is right now, cats are looking at Ross Atkins with envy based on the number of lives he has accrued. As others have said it looks bad for the Jays org. No real accountability. Whatever happened to the buck stops here? -
Bring on the post season. Enough of this AAAA baseball.
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Come on Vladdy get #200 so we can put a cap on this season. Let's Go Tigers!
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It's all over but the crying...
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2024)
Omar replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
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Series Thread...Sept 23rd to 25th... Bosox @ Jays
Omar replied to Spanky99's topic in Game Thread Archive
With two outs why is Vladdy trying for third? -
Series Thread...Sept 23rd to 25th... Bosox @ Jays
Omar replied to Spanky99's topic in Game Thread Archive
Clase goes yard! -
Series Thread...Sept 23rd to 25th... Bosox @ Jays
Omar replied to Spanky99's topic in Game Thread Archive
Vladdy almost out at second there. -
Series Thread...Sept 23rd to 25th... Bosox @ Jays
Omar replied to Spanky99's topic in Game Thread Archive
Nice ab Vladdy. -
Series Thread...Sept 20th to 22nd Rays @ Jays... Go Jays Go!
Omar replied to Spanky99's topic in Game Thread Archive
Let's Go Jays! -
Seems in recent years he starts off great then tends to crash in the last third of the season. Arm fatigue due to age?
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General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2024)
Omar replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
It feels even worse when you realize the garbage can belongs to the Angels. -
General Blue Jays Discussion Thread (2024)
Omar replied to Ryu In My House's topic in Toronto Blue Jays Talk
Buck saw Serven catching on one knee and now he gets dfa'd. Don't fvck with Buck. -
Series Thread: Sept. 13-15 Cardinals @ Blue Jays
Omar replied to Omar's topic in Game Thread Archive
Nice series win. -
Series Thread: Sept. 13-15 Cardinals @ Blue Jays
Omar replied to Omar's topic in Game Thread Archive
White knuckle time with Green and a one run lead.

