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Maahfaace

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Everything posted by Maahfaace

  1. Not entirely, but leaving flat fastballs and sliders up in the zone doesn't help
  2. And you put way to much emphasis on luck
  3. He's giving up harder hit balls more frequently which inflates his babip
  4. his fastball looks flat compared to last year, and he relies on it way to much this year
  5. id like to seee him get another shot as well, gotta keep that fastball down though
  6. I want GD to stand in front of my 82 mph fastball and take 100 cuts, then stand in front of chapmans fastball and take 100 cuts and tell me theres not a difference in babip.
  7. It is not invalid in one bit. babip against LD% hovers in the .650 range, babip for GB% hovers in the .240 range and flyballs in the .210 range. Someone that can limit LD% by inducing weak contact will have a lower babip than someone who doesnt. Take Drew Hutchinson for example, everyone says hes underperforming his xFIP and hes a better pitcher than that. Look closer at this metrics, hes exclusively using the 4 seam fastball more this year than last, and hes getting rocked at a higher LD% rate ( as his fastball really isnt that good), hence the spike in his babip. There are some smart cookies on this site, but some of you need to look into the stats a little more than babip is high, hes unlucky. There are underlying factors that help explain alot of what is happening to a player.
  8. not sure what the better balls means, closer to the plate? Although I agree for him to be a successful starter he needs to be able to throw his curveball and a solid change-up more often for strikes.
  9. My point is Sanchez has the tools to outperform his xFIP if he can gain control of his dirty sinker, clearly it wont be by a full run. But what I think what people tend to miss with Sanchez is his fastball looks so enticing to a hitter on its way into the box, and the movement that follows has hitters altering mid swing to connect with the ball which can induce weaker contact. Now this does not apply to all hitters as some are adept at adjusting to different pitchers quickly, but for the most part hitters are having a difficult time squaring up his fastball. Now something analytics wont project is if this kid develops his secondary stuff, which would allow him to miss bats more frequently further improving his fastball effectiveness. Its why alot of scouts rave about him as a pitcher, and rightfully so. Of course potential is just that, potential, but I wouldnt be surprise to see Sanchez become a solid 2-4 pitcher in 2 years if he develops a solid change up to go with his curveball
  10. Greg Maddux was a s*** ton better, while i agree hes good, he is still nowhere near the greatest ever, especially since he can barely run.
  11. Buerhle has a made a living because he induces weak contact, look at his career LD%. The fact that he does it with middling stuff is all the more impressive. He really knows how to keep hitters off balance. Also known as a "pitcher" lol
  12. While a good fielder, hes not even close to the best defensive pitcher ever, even if he was that would not account for that big a differential between ERA and XFIP.
  13. . But you are not looking at the whole picture, this is the issue i have with alot of the advanced stats guys on here. You claim to be know it all's but then select only the stats that suit your argument. 7IP 0 ER 4BB 1SO with 75% GB rate and 5% LD rate is a good start. Just cause Sanchez can get it done differently than the majority doesn't make him bad. Case in point the chubby fellow on the mound for the Jays tonight, hes made a career of getting it done against the norm
  14. might isnt a word of confidence, but on the flip side, Sanchez doesnt have nearly enough innings to confidently conclude that he is lucky with regards to his LD%
  15. you can find extremes with any scenario (Mcgee has one of the best fastballs in MLB since 2012, both 4 seam and 2 seam), and Sanchez looks like he might be of a different extreme. Hitters just dont square up his fastball consistently.
  16. fangraphs would seem to disagree with you "Batted ball stats are extremely useful for determining the type of pitcher at which you’re looking. There is no ideal batted ball distribution, but pitchers who allow a lot of line drives typically perform worse than pitchers who allow lots of fly balls or ground balls."
  17. No but LD% does directly correlate with babip, which Sanchez is what? really good at limiting
  18. He was also throwing 97 touching 99 coming out of the pen, had to have some impact. You kids and your BABIP, while i agree it's a useful stat it doesn't mean you should solely rely on it
  19. He still throws 82+% fastballs, it explains his low k rate and SwStr%
  20. tell me why you think he is a really bad pitcher other than his command issues and why he will not get better. just would like to know from someone who seems objective.
  21. Does anyone with half a brain expect a 22 yr old who throws his fastball 82% of the time to actually miss bats at a high rate or even decent rate? The kids fastball has elite potential if he can harness command of it. He shows flashes of a plus curveball, coupled with the fact that he has worked hard on developing a change up that if comes to fruition will allow him to miss bats more frequently. The only real question is whether or not this kid can gain control and develop secondary pitches, but to write him off as garbage as some do on this forum at this point in his career is just ridiculous.
  22. It's not the ump. It's Navarro. He makes strikes look like balls with his receiving
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