If you were increasing your chance of scoring by 50%, sure, but you're most assuredly not. This isn't something for which there is data, but the difference between scoring a run with Vladdy and scoring a run with Hanson there is pretty negligible. Yes, he's faster, but lot of things would have to happen before that speed would come into play. If Hanson sores on a double there 8/10 times, Vladdy probably does 7/10 times (obviously not accurate numbers, those numbers simply don't exist). He didn't attempt a steal, so that obviously wasn't a consideration, and beating out a close throw, again, would require outside factors.
It simply wasn't a sure enough thing to be worthwhile in that situation. Maybe if it was 2nd with 1 out, or 1st with no outs I'd be closer to okay with it, but 1st with 1 out is not a situation where I'm comfortable gambling the future.