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John_Havok

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Everything posted by John_Havok

  1. The rule that used to be in place about having to have long sleeves cover tattoos was " the Justin miller rule."
  2. Fangraphs actually found last year though that a team's record in the first half had a higher correlation to predicting second half records than Pythagorean projections.
  3. Sabermetrics isn't about OBP. It's about exploiting a particular aspect of baseball that other teams undervalue. In Billy Beane's case, it was OBP. It is now widely recognized that OBP is important, so OBP is itself no more Sabermetric than my left testicle. So any argument that uses a team with a high OBP as an example who has this amazing understanding of sabermetrics is baseless. Using tiny sample sizes of one player in rookie ball as evidence of anything is stupid. And perhaps the most telling reason that this thread is pretty much filled with garbage, is you're here agreeing with everything he's saying.
  4. The only thing that he's said in this entire thread that's true is that OBP is important. Pretty much everything else is a steaming pile of crap.
  5. Very much a project, the jays knew that when they took him.
  6. Maybe, but the Jays need all of their rotation pitching well in order to make any noise in the fall. Forgive my pessimism,but despite wang and Rogers pitching well over their first few starts expecting them to be even average starters is a stretch. Buerhle is #5 at best and Johnson is inconsistant from 1 start to the next. The rotation is a mess right now and I don't think AA has a legit chance to fix it for a run this year
  7. I don't think he is, but still, by definition, it's a pretty crappy debut.
  8. Stop the presses, we have a Matt Smoral sighting! 0.1 IP, Hit the first batter who was then CS, then 3 consecutive walks before he got the hook.
  9. I've already stated repeatedly that I think Pillar will make the majors and be a contributor, but not as a regular long term.
  10. Re-read this thread and there's plenty of legitimate points raised.
  11. Melky Cabrera at 24. 4th year in the majors. Pillar at 24. Total of 353 PA at AA and higher, only 26 of which are at AAA. Yep very equal
  12. Right now it's actually slightly lower than the last two years but within .6%, and 2 ish % higher than his career average. But his walk rate is he lowest of his career.
  13. Maicer hasn't impressed thus far, but I think he's about ready to go on a bit of a run. I like Maicer better than Kawasaki as a starting 2b ROS. I also think how Maicer plays between now and the deadline is really going to play heavily into how aggressively AA pursues a 2b via trade.
  14. I think you greatly underestimate the jump in skill level from AA to AAA and finally to the majors. I have no real doubt that Pillar will make the majors, and will probably contribute pretty well in a 4th OF only replacement getting 250-300 PA in a season.
  15. Since neither Kawasaki nor Boni would be playing full time, choosing one over the other based solely on "what have you done for me lately" would be short sighted. It comes do to who's skillset plays better on the bench of the Jays right now, and a switch hitting speedster who can back OF and infield is probably more needed than a light hitting MIF only backup. Bear on mind the Jays are going to go through this again when Lawrie comes back unless there's another injury at the same time. Dump a reliever or dump Boni.. Then when Santos is back...
  16. Yep legit. Rick Litsch and ECJF were wonderful friends
  17. He was specifically referring to catcher and CF though, neither of those guys you mentioned fit that bill
  18. He just told you. Guys with good defense and better than league average BA and OBP, you know, those guys hat never really get traded?
  19. Pillar very unclutch. 4-4 in th game and he comes up with an insurance run at 2b, 2 outs... Dribbler to SS.... #bust
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