I haven't given up yet (I still just love watching baseball)..but I think there are 28 games between today and the end of June. 18-10 run is needed. I don't think any less gives them much hope, and they would still be counting on all the other teams to slip quite a bit.
All that being said, I just don't see how a team with the starting pitching they have can manage to do it..we'll see.
By all-star break(if they get all the games in) 49-46 to have any chance (26-15 between now and then)